Play Video
1
John McLaughlin - Extrapolation (Full album)
John McLaughlin - Extrapolation (Full album)
::2012/06/05::
Play Video
2
Interpolation and Extrapolation: Estimating Values from a Graph
Interpolation and Extrapolation: Estimating Values from a Graph
::2011/08/07::
Play Video
3
Sunny (Cover) by Extrapolation
Sunny (Cover) by Extrapolation
::2012/09/08::
Play Video
4
JOHN McLAUGHLIN, Extrapolation
JOHN McLAUGHLIN, Extrapolation
::2009/11/27::
Play Video
5
Midpoint extrapolation
Midpoint extrapolation
::2012/08/10::
Play Video
6
A Snaffled Session | Extrapolation | Pass the Peas
A Snaffled Session | Extrapolation | Pass the Peas
::2012/10/24::
Play Video
7
Extrapolation
Extrapolation
::2011/09/26::
Play Video
8
Trends, interpolation, and extrapolation
Trends, interpolation, and extrapolation
::2013/06/25::
Play Video
9
Richardson
Richardson's Extrapolation Formula for Differentiation: Example
::2010/02/24::
Play Video
10
Extrapolation and Forecast
Extrapolation and Forecast
::2013/11/05::
Play Video
11
Extrapolation 1.1
Extrapolation 1.1
::2011/03/11::
Play Video
12
Linear Interpolation vs. Linear Extrapolation
Linear Interpolation vs. Linear Extrapolation
::2013/01/02::
Play Video
13
6.2.2-Numerical Integration: Romberg Integration and Richardson
6.2.2-Numerical Integration: Romberg Integration and Richardson's Extrapolation
::2013/09/20::
Play Video
14
Richardson
Richardson's Extrapolation Formula for Differentiation: Theory
::2010/02/24::
Play Video
15
Toribash - The Qemist - Obsolete Extrapolation
Toribash - The Qemist - Obsolete Extrapolation
::2010/06/26::
Play Video
16
Richardsons Extrapolation of Trapezoidal Rule: Example
Richardsons Extrapolation of Trapezoidal Rule: Example
::2010/02/16::
Play Video
17
Richardsons Extrapolation of Trapezoidal Rule: Theory
Richardsons Extrapolation of Trapezoidal Rule: Theory
::2010/02/16::
Play Video
18
Courbe de tendance, interpolation, extrapolation
Courbe de tendance, interpolation, extrapolation
::2013/10/02::
Play Video
19
Differentiation and Richardson Extrapolation
Differentiation and Richardson Extrapolation
::2012/09/24::
Play Video
20
MATLAB Exponential Extrapolation script description
MATLAB Exponential Extrapolation script description
::2012/01/15::
Play Video
21
Robert Wadlow Line Graph Extrapolation.wmv
Robert Wadlow Line Graph Extrapolation.wmv
::2011/10/25::
Play Video
22
John Mclaughling - It
John Mclaughling - It's Funny (from the album "Extrapolation" 1969)
::2013/01/28::
Play Video
23
Interpolation, approximation and extrapolation: lecture 1 (part 1 of 2)
Interpolation, approximation and extrapolation: lecture 1 (part 1 of 2)
::2013/11/12::
Play Video
24
Linear Extrapolation
Linear Extrapolation
::2011/09/11::
Play Video
25
You Make Me Go By Extrapolation
You Make Me Go By Extrapolation
::2010/12/14::
Play Video
26
John McLaughlin - Extrapolation "Binky
John McLaughlin - Extrapolation "Binky's Beam"
::2009/09/30::
Play Video
27
The Lurking Dangers of Extrapolation
The Lurking Dangers of Extrapolation
::2009/04/08::
Play Video
28
TBBT- The Pulled Groin Extrapolation (sub ita)- Amy and Leonard
TBBT- The Pulled Groin Extrapolation (sub ita)- Amy and Leonard
::2011/10/12::
Play Video
29
3D - Interpret, Interpolate and Extrapolate
3D - Interpret, Interpolate and Extrapolate
::2012/05/14::
Play Video
30
Extrapolation Improvements Trailer
Extrapolation Improvements Trailer
::2013/01/26::
Play Video
31
TOY - Conductor (Tom Furse Extrapolation Remix)
TOY - Conductor (Tom Furse Extrapolation Remix)
::2014/04/24::
Play Video
32
Toxicologist Retrograde Extrapolation Cross Part Two.wmv
Toxicologist Retrograde Extrapolation Cross Part Two.wmv
::2010/02/05::
Play Video
33
Blood Testing Extrapolation - DUI Attorney in Miami
Blood Testing Extrapolation - DUI Attorney in Miami
::2013/11/13::
Play Video
34
Calculator Interpolation and Extrapolation
Calculator Interpolation and Extrapolation
::2011/08/10::
Play Video
35
6.2.3-Numerical Integration: Richardson Extrapolation Derivation
6.2.3-Numerical Integration: Richardson Extrapolation Derivation
::2013/09/20::
Play Video
36
The Big Bang Theory - The Pulled Groin Extrapolation
The Big Bang Theory - The Pulled Groin Extrapolation
::2011/09/28::
Play Video
37
Regression - Prediction and Extrapolation
Regression - Prediction and Extrapolation
::2010/05/18::
Play Video
38
Mathematics 128A - 2014-02-20: Richardson
Mathematics 128A - 2014-02-20: Richardson's Extrapolation
::2014/04/20::
Play Video
39
Extrapolation Factory, 2013 Core77 Design Awards Submission Video
Extrapolation Factory, 2013 Core77 Design Awards Submission Video
::2014/02/07::
Play Video
40
Meredith Monk - Dolmen Music (extrapolation)
Meredith Monk - Dolmen Music (extrapolation)
::2010/12/24::
Play Video
41
Mike Shimamoto with Extrapolation
Mike Shimamoto with Extrapolation
::2009/03/27::
Play Video
42
Extrapolation - Sunny
Extrapolation - Sunny
::2012/01/16::
Play Video
43
Retrograde Extrapolation
Retrograde Extrapolation
::2009/11/24::
Play Video
44
Analyse Numérique/ Extrapolation Richardson (part 1)
Analyse Numérique/ Extrapolation Richardson (part 1)
::2009/08/20::
Play Video
45
Idiosync - Extrapolation (2012) 11 Lumpenproletariat
Idiosync - Extrapolation (2012) 11 Lumpenproletariat
::2014/02/04::
Play Video
46
Transhumanism as the Logical Extrapolation of Humanism
Transhumanism as the Logical Extrapolation of Humanism
::2013/10/17::
Play Video
47
Unity Tarugo network movement interpolation extrapolation
Unity Tarugo network movement interpolation extrapolation
::2013/06/22::
Play Video
48
Extrapolation of Elle
Extrapolation of Elle
::2013/10/09::
Play Video
49
Sugar by Extrapolation- Music Video
Sugar by Extrapolation- Music Video
::2012/04/16::
Play Video
50
Extrapolation
Extrapolation
::2008/10/03::
NEXT >>
RESULTS [51 .. 101]
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to: navigation, search

In mathematics, extrapolation is the process of estimating, beyond the original observation range, the value of a variable on the basis of its relationship with another variable. It is similar to interpolation, which produces estimates between known observations, but extrapolation is subject to greater uncertainty and a higher risk of producing meaningless results. Extrapolation may also mean extension of a method, assuming similar methods will be applicable. Extrapolation may also apply to human experience to project, extend, or expand known experience into an area not known or previously experienced so as to arrive at a (usually conjectural) knowledge of the unknown [1] (e.g. a driver extrapolates road conditions beyond his sight while driving).

Example illustration of the extrapolation problem, consisting of assigning a meaningful value at the blue box, at x=7, given the red data points.

Extrapolation methods[edit]

A sound choice of which extrapolation method to apply relies on a prior knowledge of the process that created the existing data points. Some experts have proposed the use of causal forces in the evaluation of extrapolation methods.[2] Crucial questions are for example if the data can be assumed to be continuous, smooth, possibly periodic etc.

Linear extrapolation[edit]

Extrapolation means creating a tangent line at the end of the known data and extending it beyond that limit. Linear extrapolation will only provide good results when used to extend the graph of an approximately linear function or not too far beyond the known data.

If the two data points nearest the point x_* to be extrapolated are (x_{k-1},y_{k-1}) and (x_k, y_k), linear extrapolation gives the function:

y(x_*) = y_{k-1} + \frac{x_* - x_{k-1}}{x_{k}-x_{k-1}}(y_{k} - y_{k-1}).

(which is identical to linear interpolation if x_{k-1} < x_* < x_k). It is possible to include more than two points, and averaging the slope of the linear interpolant, by regression-like techniques, on the data points chosen to be included. This is similar to linear prediction.

Polynomial extrapolation[edit]

Lagrange extrapolations of the sequence 1,2,3. Extrapolating by 4 leads to a polynomial of minimal degree (cyan line).

A polynomial curve can be created through the entire known data or just near the end. The resulting curve can then be extended beyond the end of the known data. Polynomial extrapolation is typically done by means of Lagrange interpolation or using Newton's method of finite differences to create a Newton series that fits the data. The resulting polynomial may be used to extrapolate the data.

High-order polynomial extrapolation must be used with due care. For the example data set and problem in the figure above, anything above order 1 (linear extrapolation) will possibly yield unusable values, an error estimate of the extrapolated value will grow with the degree of the polynomial extrapolation. This is related to Runge's phenomenon.

Conic extrapolation[edit]

A conic section can be created using five points near the end of the known data. If the conic section created is an ellipse or circle, it will loop back and rejoin itself. A parabolic or hyperbolic curve will not rejoin itself, but may curve back relative to the X-axis. This type of extrapolation could be done with a conic sections template (on paper) or with a computer.

French curve extrapolation[edit]

French curve extrapolation is a method suitable for any distribution that has a tendency to be exponential, but with accelerating or decelerating factors.[3] This method has been used successfully in providing forecast projections of the growth of HIV/AIDS in the UK since 1987 and variant CJD in the UK for a number of years. Another study has shown that extrapolation can produce the same quality of forecasting results as more complex forecasting strategies.[4]

Quality of extrapolation[edit]

Typically, the quality of a particular method of extrapolation is limited by the assumptions about the function made by the method. If the method assumes the data are smooth, then a non-smooth function will be poorly extrapolated.

In terms of complex time series, some experts have discovered that extrapolation is more accurate when performed through the decomposition of causal forces.[5]

Even for proper assumptions about the function, the extrapolation can diverge severely from the function. The classic example is truncated power series representations of sin(x) and related trigonometric functions. For instance, taking only data from near the x = 0, we may estimate that the function behaves as sin(x) ~ x. In the neighborhood of x = 0, this is an excellent estimate. Away from x = 0 however, the extrapolation moves arbitrarily away from the x-axis while sin(x) remains in the interval [−1,1]. I.e., the error increases without bound.

Taking more terms in the power series of sin(x) around x = 0 will produce better agreement over a larger interval near x = 0, but will produce extrapolations that eventually diverge away from the x-axis even faster than the linear approximation.

This divergence is a specific property of extrapolation methods and is only circumvented when the functional forms assumed by the extrapolation method (inadvertently or intentionally due to additional information) accurately represent the nature of the function being extrapolated. For particular problems, this additional information may be available, but in the general case, it is impossible to satisfy all possible function behaviors with a workably small set of potential behavior.

Extrapolation in the complex plane[edit]

In complex analysis, a problem of extrapolation may be converted into an interpolation problem by the change of variable \hat{z} = 1/z. This transform exchanges the part of the complex plane inside the unit circle with the part of the complex plane outside of the unit circle. In particular, the compactification point at infinity is mapped to the origin and vice versa. Care must be taken with this transform however, since the original function may have had "features", for example poles and other singularities, at infinity that were not evident from the sampled data.

Another problem of extrapolation is loosely related to the problem of analytic continuation, where (typically) a power series representation of a function is expanded at one of its points of convergence to produce a power series with a larger radius of convergence. In effect, a set of data from a small region is used to extrapolate a function onto a larger region.

Again, analytic continuation can be thwarted by function features that were not evident from the initial data.

Also, one may use sequence transformations like Padé approximants and Levin-type sequence transformations as extrapolation methods that lead to a summation of power series that are divergent outside the original radius of convergence. In this case, one often obtains rational approximants.

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Extrapolation, entry at Merriam–Webster
  2. ^ J. Scott Armstrong and Fred Collopy (1993). "Causal Forces: Structuring Knowledge for Time-series Extrapolation". Journal of Forecasting 12: 103–115. 
  3. ^ AIDSCJDUK.info Main Index
  4. ^ J. Scott Armstrong (1984). "Forecasting by Extrapolation: Conclusions from Twenty-Five Years of Research". Interfaces 14: 52–66. 
  5. ^ J. Scott Armstrong, Fred Collopy and J. Thomas Yokum (2004). "Decomposition by Causal Forces: A Procedure for Forecasting Complex Time Series". 

References[edit]

  • Extrapolation Methods. Theory and Practice by C. Brezinski and M. Redivo Zaglia, North-Holland, 1991.
Wikipedia content is licensed under the GFDL License
Powered by YouTube
LEGAL
  • Mashpedia © 2014