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Public Policy Polling: NC Statewide Races are Razor Close
Public Policy Polling: NC Statewide Races are Razor Close
Published: 2016/05/25
Channel: NC Channel
Clinton leads in five key battleground states after debate: Public Policy Polling
Clinton leads in five key battleground states after debate: Public Policy Polling
Published: 2016/09/30
Channel: ARIRANG NEWS
Public Opinion: Crash Course Government and Politics #33
Public Opinion: Crash Course Government and Politics #33
Published: 2015/10/03
Channel: CrashCourse
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling's Tom Jensen on the Ellmers vs Holding US House Race
Published: 2016/06/03
Channel: NC Channel
Public Policy Polling Admits They Are A Democrat Firm Working For Elaine Marshall
Public Policy Polling Admits They Are A Democrat Firm Working For Elaine Marshall
Published: 2009/12/16
Channel: allisonapplewhite1
Rush: Public Policy Polling "What If Obama Promised To Put Wall Street Bankers In Jail?"
Rush: Public Policy Polling "What If Obama Promised To Put Wall Street Bankers In Jail?"
Published: 2012/01/19
Channel: DailyRushbo
Tom Jensen - Public Policy Polling predictions
Tom Jensen - Public Policy Polling predictions
Published: 2010/10/13
Channel: The Progressive Pulse
Pros and cons of public opinion polls - Jason Robert Jaffe
Pros and cons of public opinion polls - Jason Robert Jaffe
Published: 2013/05/17
Channel: TED-Ed
Conspiracies and Trump - PPP Poll
Conspiracies and Trump - PPP Poll
Published: 2016/05/24
Channel: Papa Giorgio
Public Policy Piss Polling
Public Policy Piss Polling
Published: 2011/07/22
Channel: FatLibertarianInOkc
A conversation with Tom Jensen of Public Policy Polling
A conversation with Tom Jensen of Public Policy Polling
Published: 2016/01/28
Channel: The Progressive Pulse
McCain responds to new public policy poll
McCain responds to new public policy poll
Published: 2014/03/07
Channel: KGUN9
Ducey
Ducey's Public Policy Polling results are in
Published: 2015/05/12
Channel: KGUN9
1/27/10 Public Policy Polling "49% trust Fox, NBC second @ 35%"
1/27/10 Public Policy Polling "49% trust Fox, NBC second @ 35%"
Published: 2010/01/28
Channel: Bernard Hess
Public Policy Poll For December 27th 2011
Public Policy Poll For December 27th 2011
Published: 2011/12/28
Channel: FatLibertarianInOkc
Trump African-American Numbers Abysmal: Poll | Rachel Maddow | MSNBC
Trump African-American Numbers Abysmal: Poll | Rachel Maddow | MSNBC
Published: 2016/08/30
Channel: MSNBC
April 5th Public Policy Polling
April 5th Public Policy Polling
Published: 2011/04/05
Channel: TeaParty2012
POLL: Black Voters Like Carnies & Mosquitoes More Than Trump
POLL: Black Voters Like Carnies & Mosquitoes More Than Trump
Published: 2016/08/30
Channel: Secular Talk
Fox News Most/Least Trusted News Source - Poll
Fox News Most/Least Trusted News Source - Poll
Published: 2012/01/22
Channel: The Young Turks
Public Policy Polling in America
Public Policy Polling in America
Published: 2017/02/14
Channel: Alternative Political Analysis
Donald Trump Hilariously Polling 0% Favorability with Black Voters
Donald Trump Hilariously Polling 0% Favorability with Black Voters
Published: 2016/08/31
Channel: David Pakman Show
Barack Obama Leads Hillary Clinton in New Pennsylvania Poll
Barack Obama Leads Hillary Clinton in New Pennsylvania Poll
Published: 2008/04/03
Channel: OFUMedia
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling's Tom Jensen on anti-gay marriage amendment
Published: 2011/09/27
Channel: The Progressive Pulse
More Americans support Trump
More Americans support Trump's impeachment for first time
Published: 2017/05/16
Channel: News 247
POLL: Would GOP Back Confederacy In 2014?
POLL: Would GOP Back Confederacy In 2014?
Published: 2014/07/18
Channel: Secular Talk
An Election Preview with Tom Jensen of Public Policy Polling - September 2016
An Election Preview with Tom Jensen of Public Policy Polling - September 2016
Published: 2016/09/28
Channel: The Progressive Pulse
Trump
Trump's Followers Actually Like Amazon
Published: 2017/08/23
Channel: Wochit News
Early Polls Show Sanders, Warren, And Biden Would Crush Trump In 2020 - The Ring of Fire
Early Polls Show Sanders, Warren, And Biden Would Crush Trump In 2020 - The Ring of Fire
Published: 2017/07/23
Channel: The Ring of Fire
Poll shows Americans back Trump impeachment
Poll shows Americans back Trump impeachment
Published: 2017/05/17
Channel: PressTV News Videos
Clinton Leads Walker in New PPP Presidential Poll
Clinton Leads Walker in New PPP Presidential Poll
Published: 2015/03/11
Channel: NBC 26
Reporter Asks The Public If They Support Deez Nuts As A Presidential Candidate! "Our Savior?"
Reporter Asks The Public If They Support Deez Nuts As A Presidential Candidate! "Our Savior?"
Published: 2015/08/21
Channel: NowTube TV
Trump First look at post debate PPP polling numbers
Trump First look at post debate PPP polling numbers
Published: 2016/09/29
Channel: MeMy SelfAndi
Interesting Rachel Madow Reports On PPP Polls
Interesting Rachel Madow Reports On PPP Polls
Published: 2017/01/26
Channel: GREG PORTER
Poll: GOP Blames Obama (For Everything)
Poll: GOP Blames Obama (For Everything)
Published: 2013/08/22
Channel: Secular Talk
2020 Democratic Challenger Ties Trump
2020 Democratic Challenger Ties Trump
Published: 2017/08/23
Channel: Wochit Politics
Presidential Poll Shows Trump Losing to Mark Cuban in 2020
Presidential Poll Shows Trump Losing to Mark Cuban in 2020
Published: 2017/08/23
Channel: Wochit News
A Disturbing New Poll Says That 51% of Republicans Think Islam Should Be Illegal
A Disturbing New Poll Says That 51% of Republicans Think Islam Should Be Illegal
Published: 2015/09/22
Channel: Wochit News
Political Polling in the Carolinas
Political Polling in the Carolinas
Published: 2014/01/25
Channel: Carolina Business Review
41% of Trump voters want to bomb fake country from Aladdin
41% of Trump voters want to bomb fake country from Aladdin
Published: 2015/12/22
Channel: Drop the Dodo
Paula Deen or MLK Jr. - Who Do Republicans Prefer?
Paula Deen or MLK Jr. - Who Do Republicans Prefer?
Published: 2013/08/08
Channel: The Young Turks
NM poll shows Romney-Obama gap narrows
NM poll shows Romney-Obama gap narrows
Published: 2012/07/24
Channel: KRQE
Poll 4 in 10 support  IMPEACHING Trump
Poll 4 in 10 support IMPEACHING Trump
Published: 2017/02/04
Channel: News okia
Trump Reacts to His Surging Poll Numbers:
Trump Reacts to His Surging Poll Numbers: 'I Want an Immediate Election!'
Published: 2015/08/26
Channel: Wochit News
Here Are America
Here Are America's Least Favorite Musicians
Published: 2014/03/21
Channel: Pop Trigger
Sen. Mitch McConnell Gets DEVASTATING Bad Poll News From His Home State!!!
Sen. Mitch McConnell Gets DEVASTATING Bad Poll News From His Home State!!!
Published: 2017/08/23
Channel: GLOBAL News
31-07-2016: j reacts to "public policy polling"
31-07-2016: j reacts to "public policy polling"
Published: 2016/08/08
Channel: jessica
Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Or A Giant Meteor Hitting Earth?
Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Or A Giant Meteor Hitting Earth?
Published: 2016/06/30
Channel: The Rational National
Tom Jensen on latest gubernatorial poll
Tom Jensen on latest gubernatorial poll
Published: 2012/07/27
Channel: The Progressive Pulse
Poll Shows Republicans Want to Bomb Fake City From
Poll Shows Republicans Want to Bomb Fake City From 'Aladdin'
Published: 2015/12/18
Channel: Wochit News
New poll identifies campaign issues that matter to Arkansans
New poll identifies campaign issues that matter to Arkansans
Published: 2014/05/01
Channel: Arkansas Times
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WIKIPEDIA ARTICLE

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Public Policy Polling
Private
Industry Opinion polling
Founded 2001; 16 years ago (2001)
Raleigh, North Carolina, U.S.
Founder Dean Debnam
Headquarters 2912 Highwoods Boulevard, Suite 201
Raleigh, North Carolina
, U.S.
Area served
United States
Key people
Dean Debnam (President, CEO)
Tom Jensen (Director)
Website publicpolicypolling.com

Public Policy Polling (PPP) is a U.S. Democratic[1] polling firm based in Raleigh, North Carolina.[2][3][4] PPP was founded in 2001 by businessman Dean Debnam, the firm's current president and chief executive officer.[5]

In addition to political issues, the company has polled the public on topics such as the approval rating of God,[6] whether Republican voters believe President Obama would be eligible to enter heaven in the event of the Rapture,[7] whether hipsters should be subjected to a special tax for being annoying,[8] and whether Ted Cruz is the Zodiac Killer.[9][10]

Elections[edit]

2008[edit]

PPP first entered prominence through its performance in the 2008 Democratic primaries between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. The company performed well, producing accurate predictions in states ranging from South Carolina to Wisconsin, many of which featured inaccurate results by other pollsters.[11][non-primary source needed][12] After the November election, PPP was ranked by the Wall Street Journal as one of the two most accurate firms, among those who were most active in the presidential swing states.[13]

2010[edit]

PPP was the first pollster to find Scott Brown with a lead over Martha Coakley in the Massachusetts Senate special election; Brown ultimately won in a major comeback, and PPP's final poll in that race predicted Brown's winning margin exactly.[14]

2011[edit]

PPP was praised[by whom?] for its accuracy in polling primaries and special elections, which are notoriously hard to predict. The contests they accurately predicted include the West Virginia gubernatorial primaries, special elections in New York and California,[15][16] as well as all eight Wisconsin recall elections.

2012[edit]

A study by Fordham University found that, of 28 firms studied, PPP had the most accurate poll on the presidential national popular vote, both its independently conducted poll and the one it does in collaboration with the Daily Kos and the SEIU.[17][18] PPP correctly called the winner of the presidential election in all 19 states it polled in the final week of the election, as well as the winners of all the U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races it surveyed.[19][20][21][22][23]

2014[edit]

Political research firm YouGov found PPP’s gubernatorial polls to have the lowest average margin of error among national firms that polled in at least five gubernatorial races in the month preceding the election.[24]

2016[edit]

In the 2016 Presidential Election, PPP's final polls widely missed the mark in several key swing states, including New Hampshire,[25] North Carolina,[26] Pennsylvania,[27] and Wisconsin.[28] Their polls also significantly underestimated President Trump's lead in Ohio,[29] and incorrectly predicted Hillary Clinton to win Florida.[30]

Methodology[edit]

The company's surveys use Interactive Voice Response (IVR), an automated questionnaire used by other polling firms such as SurveyUSA and Rasmussen Reports.[31] The journalist Nate Cohn has criticized the company's methodology as being "unscientific".[32]

In 2013 columnist Nate Cohn described PPP as a liberal pollster,[33] although according to statistician Nate Silver, PPP had a tendency to slightly lean Republican as of September 2016.[34] As of February 11th, 2017 Silver's website, FiveThirtyEight, gives PPP a B+ grade in its pollster ranking.[34]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Jensen, Tom (November 5, 2008). "PPP's 'Bias'". Public Policy Polling. Retrieved October 5, 2016. 
  2. ^ Sarlin, Benjy (August 22, 2011). "How PPP Became The 'It' Democratic Pollster". Talking Points Memo. Retrieved October 5, 2016. 
  3. ^ Pathé, Simone (March 23, 2016). "Not Your Average Pollster: He Says Phones Are Out and Trump Is Credible". Roll Call. Retrieved October 5, 2016. 
  4. ^ Kraushaar, Josh (June 23, 2009). "Sen. launches attack -- on polling firm". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2016. 
  5. ^ "About Us", Public Policy Polling, 2012. Retrieved on 6 December 2012.
  6. ^ "Public Policy Poll: God Commands 52% Approval". Newsmax.com. July 24, 2011. Retrieved October 21, 2011. 
  7. ^ Rosenbaum, Ron (July 19, 2011). "Only 19 Percent of Republicans Think Obama Would Be Raptured". Slate. Retrieved October 21, 2011. 
  8. ^ "Hipster Tax For Being 'So Annoying' Backed By 27 Percent Of Americans: Poll". The Huffington Post. 13 May 2013. Retrieved 14 May 2013. 
  9. ^ Stuart, Tessa (26 February 2016). "Is Ted Cruz the Zodiac Killer? Maybe, Say 38 Percent of Florida Voters". Rolling Stone. Retrieved 1 May 2016. 
  10. ^ "Trump Leads Rubio in Florida- Even Head to Head" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved 1 May 2016. 
  11. ^ "PPP: most accurate numbers in the country for South Carolina". Public Policy Polling. January 26, 2008. Retrieved October 21, 2011. 
  12. ^ http://www.surveyusa.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/wi-dem-primary-all-x-all-021908.JPG
  13. ^ Sarlin, Benjy (August 22, 2011). "How PPP Became The 'It' Democratic Pollster". Talking Points Memo. Retrieved October 21, 2011. 
  14. ^ Taylor, Jessica (January 9, 2010). "Poll: Scott Brown ahead of Martha Coakley by 1 point". Politico. Retrieved October 21, 2011. 
  15. ^ Catanese, David (July 14, 2011). "The polling is right: Why PPP deserves props". Politico. Retrieved October 21, 2011. 
  16. ^ Isenstadt, Alex. "NY-26: The winners and losers". Politico. Retrieved October 21, 2011. 
  17. ^ Leighton, Kyle (7 November 2012). "Fordham Study: Public Policy Polling Deemed Most Accurate National Pollster In 2012". Talking Points Memo. Retrieved 7 November 2012. 
  18. ^ Easley, Jonathan (7 November 2012). "Study finds PPP was the most accurate pollster in 2012". The Hill. Retrieved 25 April 2013. 
  19. ^ Mahtesian, Charles (7 November 2012). "PPP nailed it". Politico. Retrieved 6 December 2012. 
  20. ^ Bialik, Carl (7 November 2012). "How did pollsters fare on election night?". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 6 December 2012. 
  21. ^ Lauter, David (8 November 2012). "Which pollsters did best: Non-traditional methods were standouts". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 6 December 2012. 
  22. ^ Enten, Harry (7 November 2012). "How the pollsters won the 2012 US election, mostly". The Guardian. Retrieved 6 December 2012. 
  23. ^ LoGiurato, Brett (12 November 2012). "How a three-man polling team completely nailed their election prediction". Business Insider. Retrieved 6 December 2012. 
  24. ^ "YouGov | YouGov poll performance in the 2014 Governor elections". YouGov: What the world thinks. Retrieved 2015-07-16. 
  25. ^ https://cdn.americanprogress.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2016/11/03143857/NHResults112-Final.pdf
  26. ^ https://cdn.americanprogress.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2016/11/03143904/NCResults112-Final.pdf
  27. ^ https://cdn.americanprogress.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2016/11/03143857/PAResults11316-Final.pdf
  28. ^ https://cdn.americanprogress.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2016/11/03143856/WIResults112-Final.pdf
  29. ^ https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/795762928419033090
  30. ^ https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/795447716453187585
  31. ^ Bialik, Carl (November 6, 2008). "Polls Foresaw Future, Which Looks Tough for Polling". The Wall Street Journal. pp. A16. Retrieved March 12, 2012. 
  32. ^ Cohn, Nate (2013-09-12). "There's Something Wrong With America's Premier Liberal Pollster". New Republic. Retrieved 2016-02-24. 
  33. ^ https://newrepublic.com/article/114682/ppp-polling-methodology-opaque-flawed
  34. ^ a b Silver, Nate (2016-06-02). "FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings". Retrieved 2016-07-19. 

External links[edit]

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