The 2012 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Congress, as well as various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bill Nelson won re-election to a third term. The primary election was held August 14, 2012.
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| Elections in Florida |
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The 2012 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Congress, as well as various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bill Nelson won re-election to a third term. The primary election was held August 14, 2012.
Contents |
Democratic Primary [edit]
Candidates [edit]
- Bill Nelson, Incumbent
- Glenn Burkett[3]
Results [edit]
| Democratic primary results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |
| Democratic | Bill Nelson (Incumbent) | 684,804 | 78.7% | |
| Democratic | Glenn Burkett | 184,815 | 21.3% | |
| Totals | 869,619 | 100% | ||
Republican primary [edit]
Candidates [edit]
Qualified [edit]
- Connie Mack IV, U.S. Representative[4][5]
- Mike McCalister, university professor and 2010 Republican primary candidate[6]
- Marielena Stuart, conservative activist and journalist[7]
- Dave Weldon, former U.S. Representative[8]
Withdrew [edit]
- Alexander George, businessman, political activist and minister[9]
- Mike Haridopolos, President of the Florida Senate[10]
- Adam Hasner, former Florida House of Representatives majority leader[11] (Running for U.S. House of Representatives)[12]
- Craig Miller, former CEO of Ruth's Chris Steak House and unsuccessful 2010 candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives (Running for U.S. House of Representatives)[13]
- Ron Rushing, businessman (Running for state senate)[14]
- George LeMieux, former U.S. Senator[15]
Declined [edit]
- Jeffrey Atwater, Chief Financial Officer of Florida[16]
- Allan Bense, former Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives[17]
- Vern Buchanan, U.S. Representative[18]
- Jeb Bush, former Florida governor[19]
- Dean Cannon, Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives[20]
- Nick Loeb, businessman[21]
- Will McBride, attorney and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2006[22]
- Tom Rooney, U.S. Representative[23]
- Chris Ruddy, founder and CEO of Newsmax[24]
- Allen West, U.S. Representative[25][26]
Polling [edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
George LeMieux |
Connie Mack IV |
Mike McCalister |
Dave Weldon |
Someone else |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 26–29, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | — | 47% | 10% | 14% | 6% | 23% |
| Quinnipiac | June 12–18, 2012 | 698 | ± 3.7% | 8% | 41% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 39% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 31–June 3, 2012 | 448 | ± 4.6% | 13% | 34% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 28% |
Endorsements [edit]
|
Endorsements for George LeMieux |
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Endorsements for Connie Mack |
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Results [edit]
| Republican primary results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |
| Republican | Connie Mack IV | 657,331 | 58.7% | |
| Republican | Dave Weldon | 226,083 | 20.2% | |
| Republican | Mike McCalister | 155,421 | 13.9% | |
| Republican | Marielena Stuart | 81,808 | 7.3% | |
| Totals | 1,120,643 | 100% | ||
General election [edit]
Candidates [edit]
- Bill Nelson (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Connie Mack IV (Republican), U.S. Congressman
- Chris Borgia (Independent), Iraq War Veteran[41]
- Bill Gaylor (Independent), Owner, Bill and Sheila Gaylor Insurance[42]
Debates [edit]
A debate hosted by Leadership Florida/Florida Press Association occurred on October 17 at the Nova Southeastern University campus in Davie.
- Complete video of debate, C-SPAN, October 17, 2012
Fundraising [edit]
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Nelson (D) | $10,515,232 | $4,772,682 | $8,826,043 | $0 |
| Connie Mack (R) | $3,378,682 | $2,419,810 | $1,367,876 | $0 |
| Chris Borgia (I) | $11,621 | $11,427 | $193 | $9,800 |
| Bill Gaylor (I) | $8,005 | $7,487 | $517 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[43][44][45][46] | ||||
Top contributors [edit]
| Bill Nelson | Contribution | Connie Mack | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan & Morgan | $68,950 | Elliott Management Corporation | $38,413 |
| Finmeccanica S.p.A. | $68,717 | Adams & Diaco | $25,000 |
| InDyne Inc | $64,485 | Flo-Sun Inc | $18,500 |
| Harris Corp | $59,750 | Health Management Associates | $18,500 |
| Akerman Senterfitt | $55,800 | Vestar Capital Partners | $18,500 |
| Greenberg Traurig LLP | $49,589 | US Sugar Corporation | $18,000 |
| Kindred Healthcare | $48,400 | Mastec Inc | $17,800 |
| Leon Medical Centers | $47,000 | Rooney Holdings | $17,500 |
| Holland & Knight | $44,747 | Federated Investors Inc. | $12,765 |
| DLA Piper | $39,650 | Koch Industries | $12,500 |
Top industries [edit]
| Bill Nelson | Contribution | Connie Mack | Contribution | Bill Gaylor | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawyers/Law Firms | $1,942,392 | Retired | $464,921 | Retired | $1,000 |
| Retired | $729,421 | Financial Institutions | $214,886 | ||
| Real Estate | $511,363 | Real Estate | $145,100 | ||
| Lobbyists | $437,837 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $117,860 | ||
| Health Professionals | $393,117 | Misc Finance | $108,158 | ||
| Financial Institutions | $333,665 | Health Professionals | $82,585 | ||
| Insurance | $287,538 | Business Services | $82,150 | ||
| Hospitals/Nursing Homes | $274,055 | General Contractors | $67,850 | ||
| Leadership PACs | $270,500 | Agribusiness | $66,000 | ||
| Health Services/HMOs | $242,100 | Lobbyists | $64,255 |
Independent expenditures [edit]
In early October 2012, Crossroads GPS announced it would launch a $16 million advertising buy in national races, of which four were this and three other Senate elections.[49] In Florida, the money was to be spent by its affiliate, American Crossroads.[49]
Polling [edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Nelson (D) |
Connie Mack IV (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | 955 | ± 3.2% | 51% | 46% | — | 3% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 1–3, 2012 | 525 | ± 4.3% | 53% | 45% | 2% | — |
| Mason-Dixon | October 30–November 1, 2012 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 43% | 4% | — |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist | October 30–November 1, 2012 | 1,545 | ± 2.5% | 52% | 43% | 1% | 5% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 29–31, 2012 | 716 | ± 4.2% | 52% | 42% | 1% | 6% |
| 963 | ± 4% | 48% | 37% | 3% | 12% | ||
| Gravis Marketing | October 30, 2012 | 549 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 46% | — | 5% |
| [http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/jz-analytics-newsmax-16340 Zogby | 50% | 41% | — | 9% | |||
| Zogby/Newsmax | October 26–28, 2012 | 827 | ± 3.5% | 50% | 41% | — | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 26–28, 2012 | 687 | ± 3.7% | 50% | 42% | — | 9% |
| CBS/Quinnipiac University | October 23–28, 2012 | 1,073 | ± 3.0% | 52% | 39% | — | 9% |
| WFLA-TV/SurveyUSA | October 25–27, 2012 | 595 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 41% | 4% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 25, 2012 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 46% | 2% | 3% |
| Mason-Dixon | October 22–24, 2012 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | — | 9% |
| Sunshine State News/VSS | October 22–24, 2012 | 1,001 | ± 3.1% | 49% | 44% | — | 7% |
| Pharos Research | October 19–21, 2012 | 759 | ± 3.6% | 52% | 44% | — | 5% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | 502 | ± 4.5% | 56% | 39% | 4% | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 18, 2012 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | 2% | 7% |
| Scripps Treasure Coast Newspapers/WPTV | October 17–18, 2012 | 800 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 41% | — | 14% |
| SurveyUSA | October 17–18, 2012 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 40% | 4% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 12–14, 2012 | 791 | ± 3.4% | 45% | 37% | — | 18% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 11, 2012 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
| TBT/Miami Herald | October 8–10, 2012 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 42% | 4% | 7% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | October 7–9, 2012 | 988 | ± 3.1% | 52% | 39% | — | 9% |
| University of North Florida | October 1–9, 2012 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 4, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 52% | 41% | 1% | 6% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | September 30–October 1, 2012 | 890 | ± 3.3% | 52% | 41% | — | 7% |
| Suffolk University | September 27–30, 2012 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 40% | 34% | 5% | 20% |
| TBT/Miami Herald | September 17–19, 2012 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 40% | — | 11% |
| Fox News Poll | September 16–18, 2012 | 829 | ± 3.0% | 49% | 35% | 2% | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 12, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 40% | 5% | 8% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | September 9–11, 2012 | 980 | ± 3.1% | 51% | 37% | — | 12% |
| SurveyUSA | September 7–9, 2012 | 596 | ± 4.1% | 47% | 36% | 3% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 31–September 2, 2012 | 1,548 | ± 2.5% | 45% | 38% | — | 17% |
| Quinnipiac | August 15–21, 2012 | 1,241 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 41% | — | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 15, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 40% | 3% | 10% |
| Quinnipiac | July 24–30, 2012 | 1,177 | ± 2.9% | 47% | 40% | 1% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 26–29, 2012 | 871 | ± 3.3% | 45% | 43% | — | 13% |
| Survey USA | July 17–19, 2012 | 647 | ± 3.9% | 42% | 48% | 2% | 8% |
| Mason-Dixon | July 9–11, 2012 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 9, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 37% | 46% | 7% | 10% |
| Quinnipiac | June 19–25, 2012 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% | 41% | 40% | 1% | 17% |
| Quinnipiac | June 12–18, 2012 | 1,697 | ± 2.4% | 43% | 39% | — | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 31–June 3, 2012 | 642 | ± 3.9% | 49% | 36% | — | 15% |
| Marist | May 17–20, 2012 | 1,078 | ± 3.0% | 46% | 42% | — | 12% |
| Quinnipiac | May 15–21, 2012 | 1,722 | ± 2.4% | 41% | 42% | 3% | 15% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 25, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 36% | 10% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 12–15, 2012 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 37% | — | 17% |
| Quinnipiac | March 20–26, 2012 | 1,228 | ± 2.8% | 44% | 36% | 3% | 17% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 13, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 36% | 43% | 5% | 16% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 13, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 41% | 41% | 5% | 12% |
| Mason-Dixon | January 24–26, 2012 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 42% | — | 13% |
| Suffolk University | January 22–24, 2012 | 600 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 32% | 1% | 25% |
| Quinnipiac | January 4–8, 2012 | 1,412 | ± 2.6% | 41% | 40% | 1% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 28–December 1, 2011 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 46% | 35% | — | 19% |
| Rasmussen Reports | November 17, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 43% | 5% | 13% |
| Quinnipiac | October 31–November 7, 2011 | 1,185 | ± 2.9% | 42% | 40% | 1% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 34% | — | 18% |
| Mason-Dixon | February 9–10, 2011 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 40% | — | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 17–20, 2010 | 1,034 | ± 3.0% | 44% | 36% | — | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 9–10, 2010 | 448 | ± 4.6% | 42% | 33% | — | 25% |
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Hypothetical polling |
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Republican primary
General election
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See also [edit]
- United States Senate elections, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012
References [edit]
- ^ Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Retrieved April 3, 2013.
- ^ "Bill Nelson Election Results: Democrat Defeats Connie Mack In Florida Senate Race". Huffingtonpost.com. Retrieved 2012-11-07.
- ^ "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Election.dos.state.fl.us. Retrieved 2012-11-07.
- ^ "Rep. Connie Mack IV Announces Run for U.S. Senate". Fox News. November 28, 2011.
- ^ Connie Mack IV Officially Joins Florida Senate Race : Roll Call Politics
- ^ Leary, Alex (November 23, 2010). "Sen. Bill Nelson gets his first official Republican challenger for 2012". TampaBay.com. Retrieved November 24, 2010.
- ^ Powers, Scott (August 18, 2011). "Marielena Stuart joins U.S. Senate race". Orlando Sentinel. Retrieved August 20, 2011.
- ^ Caputo, Marc (May 18, 2012). "It's official: Dave Weldon to run for U.S. Senate in Florida". The Miami Herald. Retrieved May 18, 2012.
- ^ Alexander George withdraws U.S. Senate Race- Endorses Senator George LeMieux | PRLog
- ^ Leary, Alex (July 18, 2011). "Haridopolos drops out of U.S. Senate race". Tampabay.com. Retrieved July 18, 2011.
- ^ Balderas, Hasner file paperwork for Senate bids – David Catanese – POLITICO.com
- ^ Hasner phoned Mack, not LeMieux – POLITICO.com
- ^ Florida: Craig Miller Drops Senate Bid, Runs for House | At the Races
- ^ Conservative Senate Candidate Ron Rushing Takes Aim at Politicians | Sunshine State News
- ^ "George LeMieux out of Senate race". CFN 13 Orlando. Retrieved 20 June 2012.
- ^ Smith, Adam C. (April 22, 2012). "CFO Jeff Atwater announces he will not run for U.S. Senate". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved April 21, 2012.
- ^ Hasner Nabs Former Florida Speakers Endorsement : Roll Call Politics
- ^ Buchanan Closes Door on Senate Run – Hotline On Call
- ^ March, William (December 3, 2010). "Several Republicans may vie to take on Bill Nelson in 2012". The Tampa Tribune. Retrieved December 5, 2010.
- ^ Looking beyond Connie Mack and U.S. Senate race – Marc Caputo – MiamiHerald.com
- ^ Caputo, Marc (November 17, 2011). "Citing ill-health, Sofia Vergara's bf won't run for U.S. Senate.". St. Petersburg Times. Retrieved November 17, 2011.
- ^ Leary, Alex (April 30, 2012). "Will McBride, a Senate candidate again, but with lower goal". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Wallace, Jeremy (February 11, 2011). "Rooney not ready for U.S. Senate run". Sarasota Herald-Tribune. Retrieved February 11, 2011.
- ^ Bennett, George (August 7, 2011). "NewsMax's Chris Ruddy rejects suggestion he run for GOP Senate nomination". The Palm Beach Post. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ West: I'm Not Running For Senate – Hotline On Call
- ^ Allen West shuts door on Senate race – David Catanese – POLITICO.com
- ^ Amanda Carey. "Haley Barbour lends endorsement in Florida Senate primary". The Daily Caller. Retrieved 2012-11-07.
- ^ a b c LeMieux wins endorsements of three legislators – Central Florida Political Pulse – Orlando Sentinel
- ^ a b c George LeMieux receives endorsement of three more FL lawmakers, Sen. Garcia & Reps Fred Costello and Charles Van Zant | Saint Petersblog
- ^ "Romney Endorses Mack For Senate « CBS Miami". Miami.cbslocal.com. 2012-05-16. Retrieved 2012-11-07.
- ^ Press, Associated (2012-06-06). "Jeb Bush endorses Mack in Florida US Senate race - WFTX-TV Fort Myers/Naples, FL". Fox4now.com. Retrieved 2012-11-07.
- ^ Sen. Rand Paul endorses Connie Mack in Senate race | Naked Politics
- ^ Derby, Kevin (2012-06-05). "Tea party favorite Mike Lee endorses Connie Mack in Florida". Sunshine State News. Retrieved 2012-11-07.
- ^ "Mack is endorsed by Puerto Rico’s governor – Central Florida Political Pulse – Orlando Sentinel". Blogs.orlandosentinel.com. 2012-05-22. Retrieved 2012-11-07.
- ^ Miller, Joshua (December 12, 2011). "Jeff Miller Endorses Connie Mack IV for Senate". Roll Call. Retrieved December 12, 2011.
- ^ Derby, Kevin (2012-06-11). "Tom Rooney endorses Connie Mack". Sunshine State News. Retrieved 2012-11-07.
- ^ "Pam Bondi endorses Mack: he will "protect the constitution" – Central Florida Political Pulse – Orlando Sentinel". Blogs.orlandosentinel.com. 2012-06-13. Retrieved 2012-11-07.
- ^ The Miami Herald (2012-06-13). "Another big endorsement for Connie Mack: FL AG Pam Bondi | Naked Politics". Miamiherald.typepad.com. Retrieved 2012-11-07.
- ^ In Naples, Sean Hannity throws support behind Connie Mack | Florida politics blog: The Buzz | Tampa Bay Times
- ^ Endorsement reversal: Haridopolos backs pal Connie Mack in U.S. Senate race | Post on Politics
- ^ Iraq vet Chris Borgia announces US Senate run (Orlando Sentinel)
- ^ qualifies for U.S. Senate Run
- ^ Nelson Campaign Finances (FEC)
- ^ Mack Campaign Finances
- ^ Borgia Campaign Finances
- ^ Gaylor Campaign Finances
- ^ Top contributors, Center for Responsive Politics
- ^ Top Donors by industry (opensecrets.org)
- ^ a b Haberman, Maggie (October 2, 2012). "Crossroads launches $16 million buy in Senate, presidential contests". Politico.com. Retrieved October 2, 2012.
External links [edit]
- Florida Secretary of State – Division of Elections
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Official campaign websites
- Chris Borgia for U.S. Senate
- Connie Mack for U.S. Senate
- Mike McCalister for U.S. Senate
- Ron McNeil for U.S. Senate
- Bill Nelson for U.S. Senate
- Marielena Stuart for U.S. Senate
- Dave Weldon for U.S. Senate
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